Pre-tourney Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#124
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#142
Pace63.0#330
Improvement-2.4#280

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#297
First Shot-5.5#314
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#138
Layup/Dunks-2.4#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#169
Freethrows-2.1#305
Improvement-4.4#332

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#18
First Shot+6.2#25
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#36
Layups/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#10
Freethrows+0.6#130
Improvement+2.0#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 272   South Carolina St. W 74-54 88%     1 - 0 +10.0 -5.9 +16.1
  Nov 16, 2015 212   @ Navy W 72-58 62%     2 - 0 +13.7 +6.7 +8.0
  Nov 21, 2015 105   @ Davidson L 81-82 31%     2 - 1 +6.8 +4.6 +2.3
  Nov 24, 2015 166   Coastal Carolina L 61-67 72%     2 - 2 -9.3 -5.9 -4.2
  Nov 27, 2015 194   Western Carolina W 57-56 77%     3 - 2 -4.0 -17.8 +13.8
  Nov 30, 2015 75   LSU W 70-58 43%     4 - 2 +16.6 -9.8 +25.2
  Dec 05, 2015 323   @ The Citadel W 82-74 85%     5 - 2 -0.5 -8.5 +7.0
  Dec 07, 2015 185   East Carolina W 77-73 75%     6 - 2 -0.4 +0.2 -0.7
  Dec 19, 2015 14   @ Miami (FL) L 63-85 7%     6 - 3 -3.0 -8.1 +7.0
  Dec 22, 2015 296   @ Campbell W 86-68 80%     7 - 3 +12.0 +2.7 +8.1
  Dec 31, 2015 97   @ James Madison W 65-62 29%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +11.6 +2.9 +8.9
  Jan 02, 2016 92   @ William & Mary L 70-78 28%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +0.8 +3.7 -3.5
  Jan 07, 2016 96   Hofstra W 72-61 50%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +13.8 +3.4 +11.1
  Jan 09, 2016 230   @ Drexel L 54-61 65%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -8.1 -8.1 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2016 92   William & Mary L 61-63 49%     9 - 6 2 - 3 +1.0 -8.7 +9.5
  Jan 16, 2016 156   Elon L 64-65 69%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -3.5 -6.0 +2.5
  Jan 21, 2016 140   @ Towson W 40-37 43%     10 - 7 3 - 4 +7.7 -18.9 +27.5
  Jan 23, 2016 270   Delaware W 59-58 87%     11 - 7 4 - 4 -8.7 -10.6 +2.1
  Jan 28, 2016 127   Northeastern W 68-61 OT 62%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +6.6 -6.6 +13.2
  Jan 30, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington L 55-65 26%     12 - 8 5 - 5 -0.5 -8.9 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2016 140   Towson W 65-47 65%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +16.9 -2.7 +21.3
  Feb 06, 2016 230   Drexel W 60-38 82%     14 - 8 7 - 5 +15.0 -12.6 +28.6
  Feb 11, 2016 97   James Madison L 52-56 50%     14 - 9 7 - 6 -1.2 -12.5 +10.8
  Feb 13, 2016 156   @ Elon W 66-62 48%     15 - 9 8 - 6 +7.4 +3.4 +4.5
  Feb 18, 2016 270   @ Delaware L 59-62 74%     15 - 10 8 - 7 -6.8 -12.3 +5.3
  Feb 20, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 55-59 OT 47%     15 - 11 8 - 8 -0.4 -19.2 +19.1
  Feb 25, 2016 127   @ Northeastern L 57-58 40%     15 - 12 8 - 9 +4.4 -7.8 +12.2
  Feb 27, 2016 96   @ Hofstra L 63-72 29%     15 - 13 8 - 10 -0.3 -5.3 +4.8
  Mar 04, 2016 270   Delaware W 67-63 82%     16 - 13 -2.8 -6.3 +3.8
  Mar 05, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 64-66 36%     16 - 14 +4.5 -2.7 +7.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%